Quais são os efeitos da política monetária contra sionista sobre a taxa de Desemprego e o nível geral de preços?

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Abstract

Este trabalho apresenta-se determinado pela conclusão central de um anterior estudo do autor publicado no n.° 63 de Análise Social, «Teorias explicativas da inflação: apreciaçâo crítica» , de acordo com o qual a inflação correspondería a urna manifestação estrutural das actuáis condiçōes de reprodução do capitalismo, fazendo-se sentir de forma desigual, à escala mundial, segundo urna hierarquia fundamentalmente determinada pelos graus de desenvolvimento económico dos diversos países. Defendendo que a inflação portuguesa se conforma particularmente bem àquela determinação estrutural, o autor procurou e terá encontrado factores específicos em actuação no processo inflacionario portugués susceptíveis de darem um contributo adicional à referida explicação, fundamentalmente: um défice orçamental particularmente elevado (de incidencia inflacionaria apesar de tudo discutível, tendo em conta a dificuldade em admitir um excesso da procura em Portugal, mecanismo de transmissao através do quai, a ser relevante, deveria actuar); um peso elevadíssimo dos impostos indirectos na carga tributaria (situação alias verificável na generalidade dos países de processos inflacionarios intensos). Pronunciando-se seguidamente sobre as políticas anti-inflacionárias, o autor termina defendendo que o desenvolvimento económico constituiría o único meio de alteracäo da posiçâo relativa de Portugal no processo inflacionario mundial. Ce travail a été déterminé par la conclusion centrale d'une étude antérieure de fauteur, publiée dans le n.° 63 d'Analise Social, «Théories explicatives de l'infation: une appréciation critique», d'après laquelle l'inflation serait une manifestation structurelle des conditions actuelles de reproduction du capitalisme, tout en agissant cepandant d'une forme inégale à l'échelle mondiale, selon une hiérarchie essentiellement déterminée par les degrés de développement économique des différents pays. En soutenant que l'inflation portugaise se conforme particulièrement bien avec cette détermination structurelle, fauteur cherche des facteurs spécifiques à l'oeuvre dans le processus inflationniste portugais, capables de contribuer additionnellement à l'explication respective: un déficit budgétaire particulièrement haut (d'une incidence inflationniste néanmoins discutible, si l'on tient compte de la difficulté d'admettre un excès de demande au Portugal); et un poids trop grand des impôts indirects sur la charge tributaire (une situation d'ailleurs existante dans la généralité des pays aux processi inflationnistes intenses). En suite l'auteur parle des politiques anti-inflationnistes et fini son article en soutenant que le développement économique serait le seul moyen de changer ta position rélative du Portugal dans le processus inflationniste mondiale. This work is determined by the main conclusion of a previous study by the same author published in Análise Social no. 63), «Explaining theories on inflation: a critical survey», according to which inflation would correspond to a structural manifestation of the present conditions of the reproduction of capitalism, acting in a different at worldly scale, according to a hierarchy mainly determined by the degree of economic development in different countries. Sustaining that the Portuguese inflation is particularly well in compliance with such a structural determination, the author searches specific factors brought into action in the Portuguese inflationary processus and fit to lend an additional support to that explanation: a specially high budgetary deficit (anyway of a questionable inflationary incidence, if one takes into consideration the difficulty in acknowledging an excess of demand in Portugal); a too high weight of the indirect taxes upon the tributary charge (something that also happens in the most part of the countries with strong inflationary processi). After dealing with anti-inflationary theories the author ends the article sustaining that the economic development would be the only means of changing the relative position of Portugal in the worldly inflationary processus.

Journal Information

Análise Social is the oldest multidisciplinary Social Sciences journal in Portugal. It publishes original empirical and theoretical articles that develop qualitative or quantitative approaches and contribute novel reflections to the field of Social Sciences. The journal remained a reference in comparative and historical studies on Portugal and Portuguese-speaking countries while promoting dialogue between national and international scholarship. Análise Social is theoretically and methodologically open and attentive to multiple geographical contexts. It publishes articles, essays, and reviews that are of interest to the general public of the Social Sciences.

Publisher Information

The ICS, an Associate Laboratory, is a university institution devoted to research and advanced training in the social sciences. The mission of the ICS is to study contemporary societies with a special emphasis on Portugal and the societies and cultures with which Portugal has an historical relationship, either in Europe or in other regions of the world. Linking researchers from several different disciplines, the ICS currently focuses its research on five main subject areas: the formation of the contemporary world; the study of citizenship and democratic institutions; the problem of sustainability, combining the environment, risk and space; social changes and individual action in the context of the family, lifestyles and schooling; and issues concerning identity, migration and religion. The main subject areas represented at the Institute are: Social and Cultural Anthropology, Political Science, Economics, Human Geography, History, Social Psychology and Sociology.

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